Here’s a list of short-term predictions in the next few years
1.) Ukraine and Greenland are traded between America and Russia. Russia has a free hand in central Europe.
2.) The following countries declare nuclear programs and armaments: S. Korea, Japan, Israel, Turkey, Poland, Sweden, Taiwan, Norway, Belgium/Netherlands/Germany do a tie-up on a program, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece, South Africa. Europe goes nuclear to protect themselves from an American/Russian pincer, but will be extracted concessions regardless because they’re surrounded.
3.) France/Turkey sign an agreement with Israel to patrol the Med.
4.) Troop drawdowns in much of Europe and re-allocation to Greenland. Britian, Iceland, and Greenland are the new “island chain” defense system similar to the Taiwanese/Japanese/Austrialian/Philippine/S. Korean island chain of allies against China.
5.) The tariffs will hit differently depending on your loyalties. Party supports will enjoy continued access to consumer goods, the rest will linger. This Christmas season will be a litmus test if Trump can make it through the term.
6.) AI will automate the bulk of professional services not gated by skilled experts by 2027. Digital, Accounting, Legal, Financial, Marketing – all these were the bellweathers for America Inc. Judges will still be around. Tele-health and tele-legal will be automated when slews of lawsuits make it necessary. Everyone is a skilled contract worker now, gig or otherwise.
7.) The tariffs will decimate at least 40% of all NGOs and Progressive Churches by 2027. This will impair the resistance movements in the 2028 election.
8.) Illinois is in play as a toss-up state in 2028. JD Pritkzer might or might not run, but regardless he’s a billionaire with a power base in opposition to the Administration. The MAGA movement in the southern part of the state has reached as far as Niles, and one sees Trump hats on the South Side of Chicago. I don’t even think Dems are aware of this yet in any meaningful sense.
9.) If Trump wins a 3rd term, he will finalize a system very similar to a Putin-regime: a kleptocratic gangster hierarchy. Is this good or bad? I don’t really know. Isn’t that horrible to say? I would kindly ask you to consider: would you rather live in a peaceful dictatorship like Singapore, which is very clean and well-run, or would you rather live in America as-is. All meaningful metrics – living standards, social standards, safety, transportation – are better there and yet there’s very little free speech or deviation from the norm. It isn’t for me.
10.) There will be supply-chain disruptions, intentional and otherwise, to leverage negotiations on tariffs. People will miss their cosmetics and tools.
11.) Disney+Hollywood+Digital media will re-align to going “back to business”. In reality, the administration is pushing out the legacy media by the end of the term. They know this, everyone knows this. There will either by a CNN or MSNBC but not both. Fox News will feel “left wing” in comparison to what will come next.
12.) Lastly, and I don’t want it to be true: this is going to be a horrible winter. I don’t think we’ll know what to do with ourselves when Alberta gas sends prices through the roof, there’s no services to repair heaters, there’s no more federal subsidizes (I think Trump will be selective to certain states), and costs are already high. It will push millions over the edge.